{"id":635,"date":"2014-07-09T07:58:43","date_gmt":"2014-07-09T14:58:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/starcraft.kevinleung.com\/?p=635"},"modified":"2014-07-09T07:58:43","modified_gmt":"2014-07-09T14:58:43","slug":"zvt-win-rate-v-mutalisk-count","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/?p=635","title":{"rendered":"ZvT win rate v. Mutalisk count"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>(Originally posted on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.reddit.com\/r\/starcraft\/comments\/2a8pb9\/zvt_win_rate_v_mutalisk_count_as_requested_by\/\">reddit<\/a>, also posted to the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.teamliquid.net\/forum\/starcraft-2\/461152-pro-opinions-proposed-terran-buffs?page=16#311\">TL thread<\/a>)<\/em><br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/i.imgur.com\/z3FHO6c.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/i.imgur.com\/z3FHO6c.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1503\" height=\"902\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Following the extensive description of the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.teamliquid.net\/forum\/starcraft-2\/460550-welcome-to-zparcraft-ii\">state of Terran<\/a>in HotS by TheDwf,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.teamliquid.net\/forum\/starcraft-2\/461152-pro-opinions-proposed-terran-buffs\">TL collected opinions<\/a> from professionals. Specifically, Snute was interested in &#8220;the correlation between Mutalisk count and win rate&#8221;. Here&#8217;s what I came to.<\/p>\n<p>The data comes from approximately 2100 ZvT games from roughly April 2013 to present on\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/spawningtool.com\/\">Spawning Tool<\/a>. The vast majority of replays are from tournament replay packs and should represent high-level play, though other games are not filtered out.<\/p>\n<p>The frequency of counts tails off, and I truncated the data around 50ish since past that, there were fewer than 10 games at each point. The raw data is available\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/spreadsheets\/d\/1kiTLuOFLoZQZRevNWKNZVtuWxXcteYwYac8jGl4hMkg\/edit?usp=sharing\">here<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Looking at the data myself, I&#8217;m not seeing a lot. There may be a bump around 16 Mutas, but otherwise, it&#8217;s hovering around 50% with some variance due to small sample sizes.<\/p>\n<p>Let me know if there are any other analyses, graphs, or stats that you are curious about, and I will do my best to follow up with those.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Originally posted on reddit, also posted to the TL thread) Following the extensive description of the\u00a0state of Terranin HotS by TheDwf,\u00a0TL collected opinions from professionals. Specifically, Snute was interested in &#8220;the correlation between Mutalisk count and win rate&#8221;. Here&#8217;s what &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/?p=635\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46,20],"tags":[63],"class_list":["post-635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-spawning-tool","category-zerg","tag-stats"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/635","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=635"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/635\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":638,"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/635\/revisions\/638"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=635"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=635"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/blog.spawningtool.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=635"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}